Paediatrics 2040 area of enquiry - data and evidence

This project seeks to establish a credible vision for the future of paediatrics in the UK. In this line of enquiry we will develop an understanding of the future burden of need for paediatric services by forecasting future burden of disease and healthcare activity trends.

About this line of enquiry

We are analysing data to develop predictions and models of children and young people's (CYP) health and demographics in 2040.

We will forecast the following:

  • Future burden of disease and patterns of healthcare activity for CYP in the UK
  • Future population structures and demographic distribution for the UK
  • Future workforce needed to meet future healthcare activity patterns

This will inform work in the other three lines of enquiry: innovation, models of care and working lives.

What we will do

  • Develop robust methodologies for all domains
  • Assess what data is required and available, and collect relevant data 
  • Analyse data and generate models
  • Interpret models and outcomes of the work to produce a chapter for the report detailing likely child health outcomes, and identifying challenges and opportunities
  • Work with other sub-committees of the project to ensure they can understand and utilise model outcomes and other data in their work
  • Work with other sub-committees and the project board to identify data and analysis, and perform this if required.

How can you get involved?

Follow @RCPCHtweets or #paediatrics2040 on Twitter for regular updates